What is a distribution?

A distribution tells us which values a random variable can take and how probability is allocated.

It is a complete description of our uncertainty about the random variable X.

gives the chance that X lands somewhere in A.

X

the random variable being described

A

a set of values we care about

Same idea, two common forms

Discrete · probability mass

X = number of heads in two flips

Distribution of the number of heads in two fair coin flips
Quantity0 heads1 head2 heads
Probability25%50%25%

Individual values can have positive probability; the masses sum to 1.

Continuous · probability density

H = height

Interval probabilities come from areas under the density.
At any one exact height, the probability is zero.